The current Oscars race has taken an unexpected turn with Sean Baker's film Anora emerging as a surprise frontrunner. Initially, the best picture category seemed uncertain with various films like Conclave Wicked and Emilia Pérez being considered potential winners. However recent award wins have shifted focus to Anora and particularly to the performance of its lead actress Mikey Madison .
After the Golden Globes and Oscar nominations it appeared Emilia Pérez and The Brutalist were leading the pack. These films however presented unconventional choices for the Academy. Emilia Pérez is a crime musical and The Brutalist is a lengthy drama about architecture. Both are in languages other than English and have modest budgets. Despite their nominations predicting a clear winner remained challenging.
This past weekend changed the landscape. Anora a comedy directed by Sean Baker achieved significant victories. It secured best picture at the Critics Choice Awards and then the top honor at the Producers Guild Awards. Baker also received best director at the Directors Guild Awards . These wins especially from PGA and DGA often indicate the direction of the Oscars race. Historically the PGA award for best theatrical motion picture has closely aligned with the Best Picture Oscar. Similarly the DGA award for outstanding directing of a feature film is a strong predictor.
Previously Anora seemed like a possible contender but not a favorite. It left the Golden Globes and Gothams without any awards. Even at the Critics Choice Awards Anora wasn't recognized until it won best picture at the end. Mikey Madison starring as Anora a sex worker is considered a potential best actress frontrunner. Her performance is central to the film. Initially it seemed the Best Actress race favored Demi Moore or Fernanda Torres. Despite this Madison's compelling portrayal and Anora's overall strength make it difficult to ignore her and Baker. Baker is nominated as writer director producer and editor highlighting his significant role in the film.
What Mikey Madison's Oscar Buzz Means For Her Career
Anora's Success Could Elevate Mikey Madison to Stardom
Anora's surprising ascent in the Oscars race and the attention surrounding Mikey Madison's performance could greatly benefit her career. Winning or even being a strong contender for Best Actress would significantly raise her profile in Hollywood. This recognition could lead to more prominent roles in bigger budget films and projects offering her greater creative control. The Oscar buzz positions Madison not just as a talented actress but as a potential leading lady. Her work in Anora demonstrates her ability to carry a film and deliver a memorable performance.
While the Oscars have recognized younger actresses in the past a win for Madison would still be notable and could break certain trends. The focus on her performance and Baker's direction highlights a shift towards acknowledging unconventional Oscar talents. If Anora or Baker wins it signals an evolving definition of what constitutes an "Oscar movie" among a younger and more diverse voting body. The best director nominees this year for instance lean towards directors who achieved a lot with limited resources like Baker. This trend also reflects in acting nominations with many first-time nominees replacing established A-list actors.
Our Take On Mikey Madison and Anora's Oscar Chances

Anora's Momentum Makes It a Serious Oscar Contender
Anora's recent wins and the strong praise for Mikey Madison's acting make them serious contenders for Oscars. The film's underdog story resonates with many and Madison's portrayal of Anora is both captivating and nuanced. The movie's themes about class dynamics and the American dream also connect with current societal conversations. While bigger budget films are always in the race Anora's potential victory aligns with a recent trend of smaller films with female leads winning best picture. Examples include Parasite Coda and Nomadland.
Despite initial doubts and the competition from other films Anora has gained significant momentum. The combined DGA and PGA wins strongly suggest its chances are high for Best Picture. Mikey Madison's performance is integral to the film's success and her potential best actress win is now a distinct possibility. The Oscars outcome remains uncertain until the ceremony but Anora and Mikey Madison have undeniably become central figures in this year's awards narrative. Their journey is a compelling story of unexpected success in Hollywood.